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The Winners and Losers of the Russia-Ukraine War
Two months have passed since the outbreak of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the major question in the world media is about the winners and losers in this war.
What makes answering this question very difficult is the foggy state of the war and the misleading media war from Russia, Ukraine, and the West. Each side claims that it is the victor so far in this dirty war, like all wars.
Former British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain said, “In war, whichever side may call itself victorious, there are no winners, but all losers.” The content of this saying also applies to the Russian war against Ukraine.
However, both warring sides, Russia, and Ukraine, claim that they are victors in this war. Russia asserts that the war is going according to the plan laid down in advance. But it has not yet been able to achieve all the goals for which it has fought this war.
Moscow has failed to annex Ukraine or overthrow President Zelensky and designate a pro-Moscow government. But at the same time, it has achieved military victories in eastern and southern Ukraine by adopting a scorched-earth policy, which was accompanied by a massive destruction of infrastructure and a horrific displacement of civilians.
It seems that Moscow is heading to divide Ukraine and annex its east and south to Russia, after it has so far been unable to control the capital, Kyiv. On the other hand, Ukraine cannot defeat Russia through conventional warfare. But it appears that resisting the Russian advance and thwarting its efforts to seize Kyiv is considered a victory according to the official point of view in Kyiv.
However, the millions of internally and externally displaced personnel and the massive destruction inflicted on the infrastructure, economic and military in Ukraine is not deemed a loss according to the vision of the Ukrainian leadership.
The United States is regarded one of the winning players in the Ukrainian war, as the American leadership believes that Ukraine will gradually turn into a quagmire to drain Russia. This in itself is considered a triumph from the American point of view, regardless of the affliction inflicted on the Ukrainian people.
Therefore, Washington is making all its efforts to provide arms to the Ukrainian army to prolong the war and undermine any diplomatic efforts undertaken by Germany and France to end the war peacefully.
The Ukrainian crisis has emerged as a historic opportunity for Washington to improve its military image and strengthen its leadership position in NATO. Especially after several setbacks suffered by Washington militarily and diplomatically in several countries in which it intervened militarily, such as Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, and Libya.
The bitter truth is that no matter how leaders attempt to convince their people that they are waging wars for them, the only losers from the war are the people, not the leaders. Especially for the great powers that do not get tired of expansion and domination.
We are all considered losers in this absurd war because it shows that we live in a world where the law of the jungle prevails, that is, the strong eat the weak or “The weak are meat, and the strong do eat” as David Mitchell says.
All international laws and human rights laws are nothing but ink on paper that the powerful do not abide by, and no one can force the great powers to abide by those laws.
The perpetual global peace between the powerful states that Kant talked about is a great illusion, and the permanent wars and the resulting grievances and calamities are, unfortunately, the bitter and orphan fact.
BU: Jwan Dibo
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- November 7, 2024
Amid growing anxiety among several European countries participating in NATO over Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte stated he looks forward to sitting down with Trump.
Upon arriving to participate in the summit of the European Political Community, which includes around forty heads of state in Budapest, he said, "I look forward to sitting with the elected U.S. president and seeing how we will collectively ensure we meet challenges, including the threats from Russia and North Korea." He also noted that the strengthening of ties between Russia and North Korea poses a threat to the United States as well, according to reports from Agence France-Presse.
Before Trump's victory, Rutte expressed confidence that a united Washington would remain part of the defensive alliance, even if Trump became the 47th president of the United States. In an interview with German public broadcaster ZDF last Monday night, he stated that both Republicans and Democrats understand that NATO serves not only the security of Europe but also that of America. He added that both candidates are aware that the security of the United States is closely tied to NATO.
On Wednesday, NATO congratulated Trump on his victory but did not address the Ukrainian issue.
It is noteworthy that the relationship between the elected U.S. president and the defense alliance was not the best during his first term in the White House. Trump criticized NATO member states multiple times and even hinted at withdrawing from the alliance unless they increased their financial contributions.
Additionally, the issue of the Russian-Ukrainian war is one of the matters that complicate relations between the two sides, especially since Trump has repeatedly stated that he can end this ongoing conflict, which began in 2022, quickly. He implied that he had a peace plan between Kyiv and Moscow, while his vice president, JD Vance, revealed aspects of that plan, which stipulated Ukraine's commitment not to join NATO, thereby sending reassuring signals to the Russians.
Furthermore, many NATO member states in Europe fear that Trump might halt military aid to Ukraine after he previously criticized the U.S. for pouring funds into supporting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
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